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Citi Warns 'Inversion' Looms As Treasury Yield Curve Slumps To 8-Month Lows

Citi Warns 'Inversion' Looms As Treasury Yield Curve Slumps To 8-Month Lows

Since The Fed began its 'tightening cycle' in December 2015, the Treasury yield curve (2s10s) has flattened dramatically, tumbling back today towards cycle lows (and well below Trump-election-hope lows). What is perhaps more worrisome is the historical trend strongly suggests this trend is far from over and an inverted yield curve looms.

The trend is clear that Fed policy is running counter to growth expectations and all the hope that Trump offered has been erased completely.

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Fed, BOJ, BOE, SNB, US Inflation And Retail Sales

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Fed, BOJ, BOE, SNB, US Inflation And Retail Sales

After a tumultous week in the world of politics, with non-stop Trump drama in the US, a disastrous for Theresa May general election in the UK, and pro-establishment results in France and Italy, this is shaping up as another busy week ahead with multiple CB meetings, a full data calendar and even another important Eurogroup meeting for Greece. Wednesday's FOMC will be the main event, with the Fed expected to hike 25bp (see full Goldman preview here), while the BOJ, BOE and SNB all remain on hold.

Courtesy of BofA, here is the breakdown of key events:

GE CEO Jeff Immelt To Step Down

GE CEO Jeff Immelt To Step Down

In a major shakeup at one of the largest US industrial conglomerates, General Electric said Monday Jeff Immelt, 61, would step down as CEO and Chairman, a move that had been expected by many. Immelt will remain Chairman of the Board through his retirement from the company on December 31, 2017.

John Flannery, 55, the company’s current president and CEO of GE Healthcare, will take over as companywide CEO effective August 1, concluding a 16 years period during which the stock price of GE has barely budged.

"Tech Wreck" Goes Global Dragging Worldwide Markets Lower; Cable, USDJPY Slide

"Tech Wreck" Goes Global Dragging Worldwide Markets Lower; Cable, USDJPY Slide

First the bad news: following Friday's "tech wreck" European equity markets have opened lower, with the Stoxx 600 sliding 0.9% and back under the 50DMA for the first time since December, dragged by selloff in tech shares, mirroring Asian markets as Friday’s "FAAMG" volatility in U.S. markets spreads globally, battering shares from South Korea to the Netherlands.

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