"Ignore the drop in oil prices... it's just technical" is the message from Goldman's bullish Damien Courvalin who believes fundamentally the pace of the inventory declines are encouraging and does not see evidence in the oil market to justify this (negative) shift in sentiment. In other words, BTF Oil Dip!
Another technical oil sell-off
In a day full of upside catalyst for the reflation trade including the strong TIPS auction, the speculation that the Obamacare repeal effort is back on track, and perhaps best of all the absence of hard data (today's Philly Fed "soft data" was, well, quite soft), the dollar, the S&P and Treasury yields all rose, after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that "we are close to bring forward major tax reform", refuting speculation that it may be delayed into 2018.
As RBC's head of cross asset strategy remarked yesterday, a key validation of whether the reflation trade may be coming back, was the market's response to today's 5-Year TIPS auction, which priced at 1pm.
So those looking for confirmation that the reflation trade has at least another life left in it, will be glad to know that today $16.0 billion 5-year TIPS auction this afternoon went especially well, in line with all of last year's TIPS auctions, and the cherry on top was a record buyside takedown suggesting that at least for now, bidders believe that reflationary forces remain.
Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog,
Lately there has been all sorts of chatter about the collapse of Chinese Iron Ore prices. There can be no denying, the chart looks like death.
A move from 95 to 65 is more than 30%. Given it happened in a little over a month, the decline has been horrific.
What does this mean?
Former hedge fund hotel darling Ocwen Financial plunged over 50% after the North Carolina Commissioner of Bank and state mortgage regulators from over 20 states issued a Cease and Desist order to subsidiaries of Ocwen to address mishandling of consumer escrow accounts and a deficient financial condition. Specifically, the order prohibits the acquisition of new mortgage servicing rights and the origination of mortgage loans by Ocwen Loan Servicing.
The summary findings from the C&D (link)