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Q4 GDP Revised Higher To 1.0% Thanks To Less Inventory Liquidation; Personal Consumption Falls

Q4 GDP Revised Higher To 1.0% Thanks To Less Inventory Liquidation; Personal Consumption Falls

With Wall Street consensus expecting the poor first Q4 GDP estimate of 0.7% to be revised even lower to 0.4%, and with Wall Street's biggest former permabull Joe LaVorgna expecting a number as low as 0.1%, instead it received a surprising jolt to the upside when the BEA reported that instead of a decline, Q4 GDP was actually revised higher to 1.0%.

 

Rally In Jeopardy: Gartman Covers His Shorts, Goes Long Oil

Rally In Jeopardy: Gartman Covers His Shorts, Goes Long Oil

In our overnight wrap moments ago, when previewing today's action, we said that "absent some dramatic reversal, such as Gartman covering his shorts and going unexpectedly long, expect the low-volume, upward momentum to continue into the G-20 weekend." Well, as the bible says, ask and ye shall receive.

In Gartman's just released note, we learn that the recurring Fast Money guest has indeed finally thrown in the towel, and after putting on S&P shorts at 1926 some time ago, has finally capitulated with the market once again going sharply against him. To wit:

About That "Oil Freeze": Russian Crude Production Sets New Post-Soviet Record In February

As noted earlier, among the catalysts for the overnight leg higher in oil was a statement by Venezuelan Oil Minister Eulogio Del Pino who triggered the headline-scanning algos yesterday when he said, during a television broadcast on TeleSur, that oil producing countries were discussing a March meeting site (which apparently is sufficient to instill confidence in future cuts), and that Venezuela, Russia, Qatar and Saudi Arabia are planning to meet in July. He added that "There’s no capacity to continue putting oil on the market.

Frontrunning: February 26

  • Fight night: Rubio, Cruz gang up on Trump in debate ploy (Reuters)
  • Laid Bare in Shanghai: G-20 Tensions Over How to Spur Growth (BBG)
  • China Flags Scope for Policy Stimulus, Tweaks Monetary Stance (BBG)
  • Global Stocks Rise With Commodities as China Sees Room to Ease (BBG)
  • Greece seeks to stem migrant flow as thousands trapped by border limits (Reuters)
  • SocGen Swings From Biggest Bull on Europe Stocks to Most Bearish (BBG)
  • How the Fed's Cold War With Congress Could Harm the U.S. Economy (BBG)

Bailed Out RBS Faces Shareholder Revolt As Capital Return Plans Delayed Indefinitely

Bailed Out RBS Faces Shareholder Revolt As Capital Return Plans Delayed Indefinitely

“I haven’t found any nuggets of good news.”

That’s from Investec’s Ian Gordon, who isn’t particularly enamored with RBS, which on Friday reported its eighth consecutive annual loss.

The bank - which was bailed out to the tune of $64 billion by British taxpayers during the depths of the crisis - lost $2.77 billion last year, which was actually a marked improvement from 2014. Pre-tax profit which strips away all of the bad things like litigation plunged by nearly a third to £4.4 billion, just shy of consensus.

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