Submitted by C. Jay Engel via The Mises Institute,
There are a handful of themes out there on recent market action that are either totally wrong or otherwise highly misleading. For instance, regarding the recent calamity in the capital markets, one especially apparent dichotomy has presented itself as offering two choices as to what, exactly, is causing the painful turbulence.
Earlier today, we brought you the latest commentary from Bloomberg’s Mark Cudmore who cautioned traders against reading too much into the late week rally that left everyone in a good mood heading into the weekend.
“Thursday’s rally continued strongly into the weekend close, resulting in most global assets recording a positive week,” Cudmore wrote.
Submitted by Michael Lebowitz via 720Global.com,
“What The Fed did, and I was part of it, was front-loaded an enormous market rally in order to create a wealth effect… and an uncomfortable digestive period is likely now.” – Former Dallas Federal Reserve Governor Richard Fisher – January 5, 2016.
By EconMatters
Energy Bankruptcy Boom 2015
Dozens of oil and gas companies went into bankruptcy last year. While energy E&P companies were dropping like flies in 2015, credit rating agencies and banks have remained awfully quiet and apparently buried their heads in the sand.
By Francesco Filia, CIO of Fasanara Capital
US Inflation Expectations Closing Gap To Europe's
In January, surprisingly, US Inflation expectations, as measured by 5y5y forward inflation swaps, plunged closer to European forward inflation rates (within 10bps from 5yr lows).
In stark contrast, the 5y interest rates spread between US Treasuries and Bunds stands near its 5-yr highs, as the FED expects (and is expected) to raise rates, while the ECB contemplates deeply negative interest rates.