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Frontrunning: January 11

  • David Bowie, musical legend behind Ziggy Stardust, dies at 69 from cancer (Reuters)
  • With No Powerball Winners, Jackpot Grows to Estimated $1.3 Billion (ABC)
  • Stock Gains Short-Lived as Chinese Volatility Hurts Oil, Metals (BBG)
  • China's yuan spikes higher, but stocks tumble (Reuters)
  • Yuan Loan Rates Soar in Hong Kong as PBOC Halts Currency's Slide (BBG)
  • China stocks close down at lowest level since September (Reuters)
  • Arch Coal Files for Bankruptcy (WSJ)
  • Fed Eyes Margin Rules to Bolster Oversight (WSJ)

Chinese Stocks Plunge, Asia At 4 Year Lows But PBOC Currency Intervention Pushes US Futures Higher

Chinese Stocks Plunge, Asia At 4 Year Lows But PBOC Currency Intervention Pushes US Futures Higher

Once again, China was faced with the unpleasant task of deciding which asset class to intervene in: its plunging stock market, or its currency. It chose the latter, and as a result after a turbulent start the Shanghai Composite sank by 5.3% to close just above 3000 and down 15% in just the past 11 days, suggesting that the PBOC is increasingly seeing the CNY1.8 trillion (at least) spent to stabilize stocks as a sunk cost.

China Orders Banks To Drop The U.S. Dollar

China have suspended their banks from the Foreign Exchange markets and ordered them to stop buying U.S. Dollars.  China’s foreign exchange regulator has ordered bank’s to limit the purchases of U.S. dollars for at least one month in an attempt to stem capital outflows. Superstation95.com reports: The move comes as China reported its biggest annual drop in foreign exchange reserves on record in 2015, while the central bank has allowed a sharp slide in the Yuan currency to multi-year lows, raising fears of more capital flight.

Noble Group's "Margin Call" Part II: The Enron Moment

Noble Group's "Margin Call" Part II: The Enron Moment

"Our balance sheet - the strongest in recent history - represents a significant advantage as we continue to identify high value growth opportunities across the products and geographies we operate in. Maintaining our investment grade rating with the international rating agencies is a vital part of this strategy."

      - Noble Group 2014 Annual Report, p. 27

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Fed's Williams: "We Got It Wrong"

Fed's Williams: "We Got It Wrong"

In late 2014 and early 2015, we tried to warn anyone who cared to listen time and time and time again that crashing crude prices are unambiguously bad for the economy and the market, contrary to what every Keynesian hack, tenured economist, Larry Kudlow and, naturally, central banker repeated - like a broken - record day after day: that the glorious benefits of the "gas savings tax cut" would unveil themselves any minute now, and unleash a new golden ago economic prosperity and push the US economy into 3%+ growth.

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