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UBS Unveils Its Top 5 Themes And 19 Trades For 2018

UBS Unveils Its Top 5 Themes And 19 Trades For 2018

Coming in a little late to the game, UBS today released its top 5 themes and 19 trades for 2018. Not surprising from the bank whose base case S&P forecast is 2,900 one year from now (with potential upside to 3,200), and who just told CNBC that "valuations are still somewhat cheap", the bank is optimistic, if not "rationally euphoric" and writes that it all boils down to one question: will the Kool-Aid party continue, or "will underlying macro shifts reveal fragilities in asset valuations" and more specifically, will the yield curve invert. To wit:

"It's Not Really About Bitcoin Price Surging, It's Fiat Currencies In Free Fall"

"It's Not Really About Bitcoin Price Surging, It's Fiat Currencies In Free Fall"

Authored by Joseph Young via CoinTelegraph.com,

According to Stefan Molyneux, a highly regarded Canadian podcast host, it is more important to recognize the free fall of fiat currencies, more so than to acknowledge the exponential growth rate of Bitcoin.

Molyneux says:

“It's not so much that Bitcoin is going through the roof - it's that fiat currencies are in free fall, but only Bitcoin is noticing.”

The decline of fiat currencies

Check this box if you want us to front-run your Bitcoin trades

Check this box if you want us to front-run your Bitcoin trades

Know government regulation, know moral hazard.

No government regulation, no moral hazard.

We have been reading quite a bit about rumors of governments trying to regulate crypto currency.  If and when they do, we will be told that it is for our own safety, of this I am certain.   We will also be told that the crypto currency markets are not capable of self regulation, of this I am also certain, so they will try to roll it up under the authority of the banks.  

Self regulation? Not effective?  

lol

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