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Bank Bulls Bust As Fed "Error" Boosts Bearish Bets

Just as we saw in the August collapse, US financial stocks appear to be facing the harsh reality that other markets already recognize. While US financial credit markets have been anything but exuberant for weeks, equity options markets have now turned their bullish backs on the banks as Bloomberg reports the ratio of bearish to bullish options on the S&P Financials ETF has climbed to the highest level in a year this week, reflects rising demand for protection against losses as NIM hopes collapse and Fed "error" probabilities increase.

Fed Mouthpiece Reads "Liftoff" Tea Leaves

Last month, in what will likely be viewed in hindsight as an ill-fated attempt to begin the long and painful process of normalizing monetary policy, the Fed "went there." Janet Yellen raised rates. 

Investors were meant to take solace in the FOMC's use of the term "gradual" to describe the trajectory for rates going forward, as well as from the apparent unanimity, but as is becoming more clear with each passing week, "liftoff" was a policy mistake and may well go down as the worst timed rate hike in history. 

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