by Ron Paul
Stocks rose Wednesday following the Federal Reserve’s announcement of the first interest rate increase since 2006. However, stocks fell just two days later. One reason the positive reaction to the Fed’s announcement did not last long is that the Fed seems to lack confidence in the economy and is unsure what policies it should adopt in the future.
Submitted by Arthur Berman via OilPrice.com,
Less than 2 percent of Permian basin tight oil wells are commercial at $30 per barrel oil prices.
Sorry about that. I know that many believe that U.S. shale and tight oil plays are commercial even at current low oil prices but data on the Permian basin and Bakken plays simply does not support that belief.
Two weeks ago, well before the most recent Apple "sell-thru" scare hit AAPL stock and pushed it into bear market territory, or down 20%, from its recent highs, we warned that the company faces a risk of inventory correction as a result of at least three channel checks (and soon thereafter, more) confirming deteriorating iPhone sales, indicative of either company specific or, worse, a broader drop in market demand for smartphones.
It would appear that The Chicago Fed's own National Activity Index (CFNAI) is not part of the The Fed's "data" that it is so "dependent" on. CFNAI has been in contraction (sub-zero) for 9 of the 11 months of 2015 and today's November print, missing expectations once again, tumbled to its lowest since May.
It would seem like Fed rate hike timing is questionable at best?