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Despite Earnings Season Beats, Analyst Expectations Have Barely Budged

Despite Earnings Season Beats, Analyst Expectations Have Barely Budged

Authored by Bryce Coward via Knowledge Leaders Capital blog,

By most accounts the Q2 earnings reporting season has been a good one, with most companies surprising to the upside and some offering improved guidance for future numbers.

In fact, according to FactSet, more companies have posted a positive sales surprise in Q2 than any quarter going back at least five years (chart 1).

"Risk Of Meaningful Decline": The TBAC's Disturbing Normalization Slides

"Risk Of Meaningful Decline": The TBAC's Disturbing Normalization Slides

As part of the Treasury's Q3 refunding announcement, which as discussed earlier sent 30Y yields to session lows after it failed to either boost upcoming debt issuance or mention ultra-long dated bonds, the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee or TBAC, a select group of bankers from Wall Street's biggest firms tasked with providing periodic guidance to the Treasury, released its latest presentation, whose topic this quarter was "Normalization of SOMA Portfolio", or a breakdown of i) how Wall Street expects the Fed's balance sheet reduction will play out from a chronological and structural b

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