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Trader: Investors Should Ignore Payrolls, Focus On Europe

In his latest Macro View, Bloomberg reporter and macro commentator, David Finnerty, explains why investors are better off ignoring today's payrolls report - where "any weakness will be attributed to hurricanes, while a beat on payrolls or wages would be seen as supporting a Federal Reserve interest rate increase in December" - and instead focus on Europe, and specifically the next ECB meeting which will set the stage for the next big move in global risk.

His full note below.

Looking for the Next Treasury Driver After Payrolls

The Catalan Chain Reaction

The Catalan Chain Reaction

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Oriental Review,

Catalonia’s drive for “independence” has unleashed a chain reaction of viral social media support that’s frighteningly resurrected civil war-era rhetoric, but the most dangerous consequences of this domino effect are yet to come if the separatists are ultimately successful in their quest.

The Nostalgia Narrative

Gallo Warns: A Volatility Trap Is Inflating Market Bubbles

Authored by Alberto Gallo via Bloomberg.com,

A number of markets show not only elevated valuations, but also irrational investor behavior...

Investors face a conundrum: The world is experiencing a record synchronous growth phase, but an increasing number of assets are becoming overvalued just as fundamental risks lurk in the background. Should investors continue to dance to the tune of central bank stimulus and low volatility, or prepare to exit?

Everything You Need to Know About the Catalan Independence Referendum

Everything You Need to Know About the Catalan Independence Referendum

Via The Daily Bell

It’s all illegal! That’s Madrid’s position on the referendum in Catalonia. Of about 5.5 million eligible voters, about 2.4 million chose–or were able–to cast ballots. 90% of them voted in favor of independence from Spain.

Spanish courts have ruled, and leaders have repeated, that the country’s Constitution does not allow a region to separate. European Union courts have echoed this position.

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