John Mauldin: "One Of These 3 Black Swans Will Trigger A Global Recession"
Authored by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com,
Exactly 10 years ago, we were months way from a world-shaking financial crisis.
By late 2006, we had an inverted yield curve steep to be a high-probability indicator of recession. I estimated at that time that the losses would be $400 billion at a minimum. Yet, most of my readers and fellow analysts told me I was way too bearish.