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John Mauldin: "One Of These 3 Black Swans Will Trigger A Global Recession"

John Mauldin: "One Of These 3 Black Swans Will Trigger A Global Recession"

Authored by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com,

Exactly 10 years ago, we were months way from a world-shaking financial crisis.

By late 2006, we had an inverted yield curve steep to be a high-probability indicator of recession. I estimated at that time that the losses would be $400 billion at a minimum. Yet, most of my readers and fellow analysts told me I was way too bearish.

Chris Whalen: "Gundlach Isn't Wrong, He's Just Early"

Chris Whalen: "Gundlach Isn't Wrong, He's Just Early"

Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisers and a very well-known financial analyst (he was one of the original forecasters of Lehman's inevitable demise) appeared on MacroVoices podcast this week to discuss the equity valuations, the path of the US dollar and DoubleLine Capital founder Jeff Gundlach’s declaration that the 35-year bull market in bonds is dead. Some of the key highlights:

"This Time Will Be Different": A Bullish Morgan Stanley Says "2017 Is Unlike 2012-2016"

"This Time Will Be Different": A Bullish Morgan Stanley Says "2017 Is Unlike 2012-2016"

Following a flood of warnings in the past week about both the precarious state of markets and the global economy, most recently from the otherwise stoic Howard Marks warning about bubble-like condition in the market (especially when it comes to passive investors), as well as Robert Shiller who explained what "keeps him up at night", we were due for some good news.

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