What If Hillary Had Won?
Via ConvergEx's Nicholas Colas,
Counterfactual analysis is a useful way to consider the world we actually inhabit. To that end, today we ask “What if Hillary Clinton had won the Presidency on November 8th?”
Via ConvergEx's Nicholas Colas,
Counterfactual analysis is a useful way to consider the world we actually inhabit. To that end, today we ask “What if Hillary Clinton had won the Presidency on November 8th?”
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With the recent performance of the S&P, in which there has not been even a single 1% drawdown since the election, not only is complacency raging but some traders have forgotten what it even means to experience a modest 5% correction, let alone a 20% bear market. How much longer can this go on?
For the answer, we turned to a recent report by InvesTech, according to which as the table below shows, a 5% correction has occurred about once every seven months in an ongoing bull market.
In case you missed it, The Dow hit 20,000 today...
As we noted yesterday, the last month has seen the lowest trading range in US history...
Curious what other traders are most confused about? Courtesy of RBC's Charlie McElligott, we now know the answer: "what is driving this move?" Below is the attempt by the RBC cross-asset strategist to explain it.
The "Right Kind" Of Trump Driving Equities Melt Up, TSY Sell Off