S&P 500

In years to come markets may well look back at the month just passed as one of the most pivotal in recent memory, at least that's the assessment of DB's Jim Reid. The US election result just over 3 weeks ago sparked a huge divergence across asset classes and also between developed and emerging markets. In fact you could probably start this performance review from November 8th as assets were generally little changed in the first week and a bit leading into the election.

Did Jeff Gundlach do it again? Shortly after the DoubleLine manager told Reuters yesterday afternoon that the Trump rally is ending, that "stocks have peaked" and that it is "too late to buy the Trump trade", US stocks tumbled to session lows, and have continued to drop overnight, with S&P futures down 0.3%, alongside sliding Asian and European markets; oil and the dollar are also down with the only asset class catching a bid are 10Y TSYs, whose yields are lower at 2.43% after reaching an 18 month high of 2.492% overnight ahead of today's nonfarm payrolls report.

In its 'year-forward' 2017 outlook, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic warns that:

Submitted by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

Bull Market Exuberance

As I addressed on Tuesday, the exuberance in the markets following the election, is getting just a bit overdone. To wit:

Today's massacre in money markets has seen global bonds crushed but US Treasuries dramatically underperforming. In fact, as Gavekal Capital's Eric Bush notes, the last time the spread between US and German 10-year government bonds had such a large yield differential was on May 10th, 1989, as in before the fall of the Berlin Wall.

The official date that the Berlin Wall fell is November 9th, 1989. Let that sink in for moment.