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Ranked: The Biggest Risks to the U.S. Economy in 2026

Ranked: The Biggest Risks to the U.S. Economy in 2026

Key Takeaways

  • 59% of economists cite an AI investment correction as a downside risk, making it the top threat to the 2026 U.S. economic outlook.
  • AI also ranks as the biggest potential upside, with 29% citing continued AI-related capital investment.
  • Beyond AI, geopolitical escalation (47%) and higher energy prices (35%) rank among the biggest threats to the outlook.

Few forces loom as large over the 2026 U.S. economic outlook as AI investment.

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