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Charted: The World’s Most Populous Countries (1973–2023)

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The World’s Most Populous Countries (1973–2023)

Humankind is now double the size it was in 1973.

Of course, that growth has been far from uniform, and the ranking of the world’s most populous countries continues to evolve.

Using the latest data available from the United Nations, we’ve looked at which countries have the largest share of the planet’s eight billion people.

The Top 10 Most Populous Countries

Here are the countries shown above, including how much they’ve grown over the past 50 years:

Country Population (1973) Population (2023) Change (1973–2023)
China 881,652,084 1,425,671,353 ↑ 544,019,269
India 596,107,487 1,428,627,666 ↑ 832,520,179
United States 207,314,772 339,996,567 ↑ 132,681,795
Russia 132,191,636 144,444,360 ↑ 12,252,724
Indonesia 124,709,060 277,534,118 ↑ 152,825,058
Japan 109,679,473 123,294,516 ↑ 13,615,043
Brazil 103,666,906 216,422,450 ↑ 112,755,544
Germany 78,667,473 83,294,634 ↑ 4,627,161
Bangladesh 711,44,816 172,954,325 ↑ 101,809,509
Pakistan 64,285,630 240,485,666 ↑ 176,200,036
Nigeria 59,605,450 223,804,636 ↑ 164,199,186
Mexico 55,228,202 128,455,563 ↑ 73,227,361

The numbers above highlight the extreme variance in growth for these world’s most populous countries. While Germany has grown by just 6% over the past 50 years, Pakistan and Nigeria have nearly quadrupled their populations.

Half a century ago, there were only six countries with populations of over 100 million. Today, there are 15 countries past that mark, with Vietnam positioned to hit that milestone next.

The Top 20 Most Populous Countries

Things get even more interesting when we examine the top 20 most populous countries over the same time period.

Country Population (1973) Rank (1973) Population (2023) Rank (2023)
China 881,652,084 1 1,425,671,353 2
India 596,107,487 2 1,428,627,666 1
United States 207,314,772 3 339,996,567 3
Russia 132,191,636 4 144,444,360 9
Indonesia 124,709,060 5 277,534,118 4
Japan 109,679,473 6 123,294,516 12
Brazil 103,666,906 7 216,422,450 7
Germany 78,667,473 8 83,294,634 19
Bangladesh 71,144,816 9 172,954,325 8
Pakistan 64,285,630 10 240,485,666 5
Nigeria 59,605,450 11 223,804,636 6
United Kingdom 56,166,630 12 67,736,798 21
Mexico 55,228,202 13 128,455,563 10
Italy 54,379,587 14 58,870,763 25
France 51,814,077 15 64,756,586 23
Ukraine 48,301,548 16 36,744,635 41
Vietnam 44,891,286 17 98,858,947 16
Philippines 40,406,232 18 117,337,366 13
Thailand 38,873,065 19 71,801,281 20
Turkey 38,028,236 20 85,816,192 18
Egypt 37,120,778 21 112,716,599 14
Iran 30,981,903 25 89,172,768 17
Ethiopia 30,694,321 26 126,527,064 11
DRC 21,853,908 32 102,262,812 15

Looking back 50 years ago, Nigeria was the lone African nation in the top 20. Today, it is joined by Ethiopia, Egypt, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo – all of which have experienced staggering population growth.

African nations are expected to lead population growth over the next few decades. By 2100, one quarter of the world’s people are expected to be African.

Europe is the flip side of this equation. Back in 1973, there were six European countries in this top list. Today, only Russia and Germany remain, with the latter country soon to fall out of the top 20 ranking.

Ukraine, which was shrinking, is expected to fall to at least 41st place due to the turmoil surrounding the Russian invasion of the country. Since the invasion began in February 2022, nearly 14 million border crossings have been recorded from Ukraine to other countries.

How Big Will Populations Get?

Once India becomes the world’s largest country, it will likely remain so for many decades in the future, peaking in the 2060s (unless there are substantial changes in projected growth rates). India’s peak population will stand at around 1.7 billion people.

The world’s population is expected to peak later, around the 2080s. Humanity’s peak population is expected to be about 10.5 billon.

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