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Which Countries Are Expected to Grow the Most in 2026?
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Key Takeaways
- Guyana is forecast to see 23% real GDP growth in 2026, the highest rate globally, supported by a massive oil boom.
- Global real GDP growth is projected to be 3.1% in 2026, slightly lower than the 3.2% forecast for 2025.
After several years of economic volatility, growth in 2026 is expected to remain uneven across the world.
While global growth is projected to hold steady overall, momentum varies sharply by country, shaped by factors such as energy production, trade exposure, fiscal conditions, and demographic trends. As a result, some economies are positioned for rapid expansion, while others face more modest outlooks.
This graphic shows forecasts for global GDP growth rates in 2026, based on data from the International Monetary Fund.
A Closer Look at GDP Growth Rates in 2026
Below, we show the GDP outlook for 190 countries worldwide:
| Rank | Country | Real GDP Growth 2026 (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 23.0 |
| 2 | South Sudan | 22.4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 10.5 |
| 4 | Sudan | 9.5 |
| 5 | Uganda | 7.6 |
| 6 | Rwanda | 7.5 |
| 7 | Bhutan | 7.4 |
| 8 | Ethiopia | 7.1 |
| 9 | Benin | 6.7 |
| 10 | Niger | 6.7 |
| 11 | Côte d'Ivoire | 6.4 |
| 12 | Zambia | 6.4 |
| 13 | Tanzania | 6.3 |
| 14 | India | 6.2 |
| 15 | Qatar | 6.1 |
| 16 | Djibouti | 6.0 |
| 17 | Uzbekistan | 6.0 |
| 18 | Philippines | 5.7 |
| 19 | Vietnam | 5.6 |
| 20 | Mongolia | 5.5 |
| 21 | Tajikistan | 5.5 |
| 22 | Togo | 5.5 |
| 23 | Liberia | 5.4 |
| 24 | Mali | 5.4 |
| 25 | Congo, Dem. Rep. of the | 5.3 |
| 26 | Georgia | 5.3 |
| 27 | Kyrgyz Republic | 5.3 |
| 28 | Nepal | 5.2 |
| 29 | Gambia, The | 5.1 |
| 30 | Guinea-Bissau | 5.0 |
| 31 | United Arab Emirates | 5.0 |
| 32 | Armenia | 4.9 |
| 33 | Bangladesh | 4.9 |
| 34 | Indonesia | 4.9 |
| 35 | Kenya | 4.9 |
| 36 | Sierra Leone | 4.9 |
| 37 | Burkina Faso | 4.8 |
| 38 | Cabo Verde | 4.8 |
| 39 | Ghana | 4.8 |
| 40 | Kazakhstan | 4.8 |
| 41 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 4.7 |
| 42 | Eswatini | 4.6 |
| 43 | Zimbabwe | 4.6 |
| 44 | Dominican Republic | 4.5 |
| 45 | Egypt | 4.5 |
| 46 | Maldives | 4.5 |
| 47 | Ukraine | 4.5 |
| 48 | Madagascar | 4.3 |
| 49 | Mauritania | 4.3 |
| 50 | China, People's Republic of | 4.2 |
| 51 | Libya | 4.2 |
| 52 | Morocco | 4.2 |
| 53 | Nigeria | 4.2 |
| 54 | Burundi | 4.1 |
| 55 | Cameroon | 4.1 |
| 56 | Marshall Islands | 4.1 |
| 57 | Argentina | 4.0 |
| 58 | Cambodia | 4.0 |
| 59 | Comoros | 4.0 |
| 60 | Kosovo | 4.0 |
| 61 | Malaysia | 4.0 |
| 62 | Oman | 4.0 |
| 63 | Panama | 4.0 |
| 64 | Saudi Arabia | 4.0 |
| 65 | Israel | 3.9 |
| 66 | Kuwait | 3.9 |
| 67 | Malta | 3.9 |
| 68 | Namibia | 3.8 |
| 69 | Paraguay | 3.7 |
| 70 | Suriname | 3.7 |
| 71 | Türkiye, Republic of | 3.7 |
| 72 | Albania | 3.6 |
| 73 | Chad | 3.6 |
| 74 | Guatemala | 3.6 |
| 75 | Iraq | 3.6 |
| 76 | Pakistan | 3.6 |
| 77 | Serbia | 3.6 |
| 78 | Honduras | 3.5 |
| 79 | Mozambique | 3.5 |
| 80 | Papua New Guinea | 3.5 |
| 81 | Grenada | 3.4 |
| 82 | Mauritius | 3.4 |
| 83 | Bahrain | 3.3 |
| 84 | Central African Republic | 3.3 |
| 85 | Costa Rica | 3.3 |
| 86 | Dominica | 3.3 |
| 87 | Palau | 3.3 |
| 88 | Somalia | 3.3 |
| 89 | Timor-Leste | 3.3 |
| 90 | Kiribati | 3.2 |
| 91 | Montenegro | 3.2 |
| 92 | North Macedonia | 3.2 |
| 93 | Samoa | 3.2 |
| 94 | Seychelles | 3.2 |
| 95 | Bulgaria | 3.1 |
| 96 | Fiji | 3.1 |
| 97 | Poland | 3.1 |
| 98 | Myanmar | 3.0 |
| 99 | Senegal | 3.0 |
| 100 | Algeria | 2.9 |
| 101 | Jordan | 2.9 |
| 102 | Lithuania | 2.9 |
| 103 | Nicaragua | 2.9 |
| 104 | Congo, Republic of | 2.8 |
| 105 | Cyprus | 2.8 |
| 106 | Macao SAR | 2.8 |
| 107 | Solomon Islands | 2.8 |
| 108 | Vanuatu | 2.8 |
| 109 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2.7 |
| 110 | Croatia | 2.7 |
| 111 | Malawi | 2.7 |
| 112 | Peru | 2.7 |
| 113 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 2.7 |
| 114 | Gabon | 2.6 |
| 115 | Tuvalu | 2.6 |
| 116 | Antigua and Barbuda | 2.5 |
| 117 | Azerbaijan | 2.5 |
| 118 | El Salvador | 2.5 |
| 119 | Lao P.D.R. | 2.5 |
| 120 | Belize | 2.4 |
| 121 | Brunei Darussalam | 2.4 |
| 122 | Uruguay | 2.4 |
| 123 | Botswana | 2.3 |
| 124 | Colombia | 2.3 |
| 125 | Iceland | 2.3 |
| 126 | Slovenia | 2.3 |
| 127 | Tonga | 2.3 |
| 128 | Turkmenistan | 2.3 |
| 129 | Aruba | 2.2 |
| 130 | Denmark | 2.2 |
| 131 | Latvia | 2.2 |
| 132 | Moldova | 2.2 |
| 133 | New Zealand | 2.2 |
| 134 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 2.2 |
| 135 | Angola | 2.1 |
| 136 | Australia | 2.1 |
| 137 | Bahamas, The | 2.1 |
| 138 | Barbados | 2.1 |
| 139 | Hong Kong SAR | 2.1 |
| 140 | Hungary | 2.1 |
| 141 | Luxembourg | 2.1 |
| 142 | Portugal | 2.1 |
| 143 | Saint Lucia | 2.1 |
| 144 | Taiwan Province of China | 2.1 |
| 145 | Tunisia | 2.1 |
| 146 | United States | 2.1 |
| 147 | Chile | 2.0 |
| 148 | Czech Republic | 2.0 |
| 149 | Ecuador | 2.0 |
| 150 | Greece | 2.0 |
| 151 | Spain | 2.0 |
| 152 | Brazil | 1.9 |
| 153 | Nauru | 1.9 |
| 154 | Sweden | 1.9 |
| 155 | Korea, Republic of | 1.8 |
| 156 | Singapore | 1.8 |
| 157 | Slovak Republic | 1.7 |
| 158 | Andorra | 1.6 |
| 159 | Norway | 1.6 |
| 160 | Thailand | 1.6 |
| 161 | Canada | 1.5 |
| 162 | Estonia | 1.5 |
| 163 | Jamaica | 1.5 |
| 164 | Liechtenstein | 1.5 |
| 165 | Mexico | 1.5 |
| 166 | Belarus | 1.4 |
| 167 | Micronesia, Fed. States of | 1.4 |
| 168 | Romania | 1.4 |
| 169 | Finland | 1.3 |
| 170 | Ireland | 1.3 |
| 171 | San Marino | 1.3 |
| 172 | Switzerland | 1.3 |
| 173 | United Kingdom | 1.3 |
| 174 | Netherlands | 1.2 |
| 175 | South Africa | 1.2 |
| 176 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1.2 |
| 177 | Iran | 1.1 |
| 178 | Lesotho | 1.1 |
| 179 | Belgium | 1.0 |
| 180 | Russian Federation | 1.0 |
| 181 | France | 0.9 |
| 182 | Germany | 0.9 |
| 183 | Austria | 0.8 |
| 184 | Italy | 0.8 |
| 185 | Japan | 0.6 |
| 186 | Equatorial Guinea | 0.5 |
| 187 | Yemen | 0.0 |
| 188 | Puerto Rico | -0.1 |
| 189 | Haiti | -1.2 |
| 190 | Venezuela | -3.0 |
| -- | World | 3.1 |
Thanks to a massive oil discovery, Guyana is projected to see the strongest real GDP growth in 2026, at 23%.
As we can see, several African nations are forecast to see upwards of 6% growth, driven by growing economic stability. Meanwhile, India is expected to expand by 6.2%, the 14th-fastest rate globally.
In China, real GDP is projected to slow from 4.8% in 2025 to 4.2% in 2026. Strong export growth and fiscal support are anticipated to offset weak domestic demand and a sluggish property market.
When it comes to U.S. growth in 2026, a moderate increase from 2.0% in 2025 to 2.1% in 2026 is forecasted. Among the factors underscoring the economic picture are continued strength in the AI sector and gradually easing interest rates, although risks remain.
By comparison, European economies are projected to see dismal growth in 2026.
In particular, Italy and Austria are each forecast to see just 0.8% growth, among the lowest rates globally. Germany and France, meanwhile, are expected to growth marginally higher, at 0.9%, as weak productivity growth and aging populations weigh on output.
Learn More on the Voronoi App
To learn more about this topic, check out this graphic on each state’s share of U.S. GDP.