Last night we reported that the PBoC is now considering a Tobin tax on FX transactions.
The follows reports that a series of big name money managers - or, as China calls them, “speculators,” “predators,” and “crocodiles” - have placed outsized bets against the yuan.
Was that it for the great February/March bear market rally?
Despite Goldman Sachs "short gold" recommendation - which came within pennies of being stopped out last week - traders, investors, and safe-haven seekers continue to push into the precious metals.
The biggest macro development over the weekend was China's latest "gloomy" economic update, in which industrial production, retail sales and lending figures all missed estimates, however now that we are back to central bank bailout mode, bad news is once again good news, and the Shanghai Comp soared +1.7% among the best performers in Asia on calls for further central bank stimulus while the new CSRC chief also vowed to intervene in stock markets if necessary. In other words, the worse the data in China, the better.
Submitted by Alasdair Macleod via GoldMoney.com,
This article notes that the technical situation for the gold price has sharply improved, to the evident surprise of many mainstream analysts. It discusses possible reasons behind the turnaround, and implications for the future.
Technicals
The technical situation is shown in the chart below.