After a sizable build in crude and draw in gasoline overnight from API, WTI and RBOB are lower (legged down on Libya production news). DOE data confirmed the API data with a sizable crude build and gasoline and distillates extending their draw streak. US crude production rose once again - the highest in 13 months.
API
DOE
Lately not a day seems to pass without some materially adverse news hitting a prominent retailer, or the broader space, and today it is perennial default candidate Sears to crash at the open after issuing a "going concern" in its latest 10-K, warning overnight, wrning “substantial doubt” about its ability to keep operating, raising fresh concerns about a company that has lost more than $10 billion in recent years.
After starting the year at the fastest pace in almost a decade, existing-home sales slid in February some 3.7%, below the 2.0% drop expected, as 5.48 million existing houses were sold last month which was marked by a paradoxe: on one hand, NAR reported that the median existing-home price in February was $228,400, up 7.7% from February 2016 and was the fastest increase since last January (8.1 percent).
With Saudi Arabia scrambling to respond to surging US shale production in what many analysts warn is a lose-lose decision, as either Saudi Arabia will lose market share under the current status quo, or government revenue will tumble should the Vienna 2016 production cut deal be cancelled, moments ago Fitch poured some fuel on the fire, when it downgraded the Saudi Kingdom from AA- to A+, as a result of the country's soaring deficit, declining reserves, and a deteriorating balance sheet.
Full report below:
The technical damage from yesterday has been severe.
Does this mean that stocks won’t bounce? No. But it is a major wake up call to investors that the market is in danger of going lower. MUCH lower.
The Russell 2000 leads the overall market. It is right at support today. If it breaks this line, the market could crash, unwinding the ENTIRE move from November 6 in a matter of days.
The economically sensitive Dow Jones Transportation Index (DJTA) has already taken out critical support.