Perhaps it is recency bias playing its tricks, but Treasury and Bund yields curves are steepening dramatically for the second day in a row, this time dragged higher by comments on longer-term issuance plans from Germany.
As always, German and US yield curves are moving in sync with a notable steepening again - the biggest 2-day steepening since Trump was elected.
Barring some unforeseen catastrophe (or another floor-vote surprise akin to Sen. John McCain’s last minute decision to strike down the Senate’s plan to repeal and replace Obamacare), Congressional Republicans appear all but certain to pass the reconciled version of President Donald Trump’s tax-cut plan - the first time Congress has successfully passed comprehensive tax reform since 1986.
A cryptocurrency exchange in South Korea collapsed on Tuesday after it suffered a second cyberattack in eight months and lost a large amount of its digital-currency reserves. This spooked Asian investors who sold Bitcoin (and other cryptos).
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With many expecting long-yield to continue declining no matter what, and how many hikes, the Fed and central banks do on the short end, Tommi Utoslahti, a former derivatives trader and analyst and currently one of Bloomberg’s Global Macro squawkers, disagrees and as he writes in his latest Markets Live note below, expects a violent repricing in European rates, and especially the Bund market, where "Investors have become so blinded by QE-suppressed ultra-low yields that they risk sleepwalking into a major correction even as most hard indicators scream for heightened alertness." Of course, th