Is The Stock Rally Getting Too Complacent? (Spoiler Alert: Yes)

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr,
Data from the volatility market suggests that expectations in the near-term may have finally gotten a bit too complacent.
Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr,
Data from the volatility market suggests that expectations in the near-term may have finally gotten a bit too complacent.
Following two days of rangebound moves, where Monday's modest market rebound was undone by the Tuesday just as modest decline (despite the early surge higher on the latest "bullish for stocks" European terrorism), overnight equity action continued to be more of the same, and as of this moment S&P 500 futures were unchanged, while European stocks were modestly higher.
You know you have 'tinkered' too much in the machincations of what dealers now call a "dead market" when the world's largest sovereign bond market is inverted at the short-end and the long-end. The utter folly of Peter Pan policy has sent 10Y JGB yields below the BoJ's overnight call rate for the first time ever...
Earlier today, Canada's new Liberal government unveiled a stimulus budget meant to revive slumping growth with a surge in infrastructure spending and said it would run a deficit nearly three times larger than promised during last year's election.