"Cheerleader" Fed Loses Credibility: Big Funds No Longer Trust The 'Dot Plot'
For the past four years, bond traders have quickly turned their focus after Federal Reserve meetings to something called the dot plot (seen as a key insight into their collective thinking on rates). The problem is, as Bloomberg exposes, the forecasts weren't very good... and fund managers are increasingly ignoring the dot plot for investment decisions, as one strategist exclaimed "we don’t put a lot of credibility in the dots, [officials] have usually been cheerleaders for the economy, and they get turning points in the economy wrong."