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Frontrunning: March 15

  • Bank of Japan Holds Fire on Stimulus, Negative Rate Unchanged (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Aims for a Knockout in Tuesday Primaries (WSJ)
  • Global Stocks Fall on Commodities Decline, Ahead of Fed Meeting (WSJ)
  • Oil prices fall as clouds gather over supply picture (Reuters)
  • Many Shale Companies Are Unable to Ramp Up Oil Output (WSJ)
  • Valeant Slashes Guidance, stock crashes (WSJ)
  • Fed to sit tight on rates at March meet, hint at hikes to come (Reuters)
  • Big Money Gets On China's Lifeboats (BBG)

Making Sense of Cents

Making Sense of Cents

Forex remains to be the largest market in the world and the least understood.  Central banks have more influence on global markets than any other force.  In other words, monetary policy is the ONLY economic indicator(s) investors should be watching, because let's face it, if the Fed raised rates to 10% like they should do and called in all that QE money, stocks would collapse.

But yet Forex remains a mystery, something that someone may have mentioned or you heard about.. wait FX is a TV channel?  or graphics?  a movie?

Having Killed Their Equity Market, China Unleashes "Tobin Tax" For FX Market

Having Killed Their Equity Market, China Unleashes "Tobin Tax" For FX Market

In September last year, Chinese regulators stepped on the throat of a 'fair' market in equity futures trading and for all intent and purpose killed the Chinese equity market. Tonight - after 2 days of Yuan weakness - having warned everyon from Soros to Kyle Bass that "betting against the Yuan can't possibly work," The PBOC just unleashed plans for so-called "Tobin Tax" on FX transactions (which implicitly taxes each transaction, reducing liquidity, raising margins and reducing leverage).

Central Banks - The New Nukes?

Central Banks - The New Nukes?

You know something is strange when "the riskiest" country in the world is the nation whose central bank everyone is relying on to 'save the world' and "the safest" stock market in the world is from a nation whose neighbor is actively test-firing nuclear missiles? It appears activist central banks - following Draghi's "kitchen sink" - have become the new normal's 'nukes'.

As Goldman notes,  Brazil & Japan vol is highest and Korea lowest on %-ile basis

Mises' Ryan McMaken warns,

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