Will Tomorrow's Payrolls Print A Zero?

Crazy, right? Perhaps not. For the first time since the financial crisis credit conditions have tightened for two consecutive quarters, something which have never happened without preceding a recession. That's all well and good, however, most problematic is its extremely tight correlation to nonfarm payrolls through the cycle... and that is flashing the 'reddest' since 2009.
We have seen this pattern of last ditch desperation hiring before - at the peak in 2007...