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Who Are You Going to Trust, the Fed or $76 Trillion in "Smart Money"?

Who Are You Going to Trust, the Fed or $76 Trillion in "Smart Money"?

Let’s talk about inflation.

There are two types of inflation in the world… the “inflation” that you and I experience in the form of a rising cost of living induced by Central Banks devaluing our currencies…

...and the inflation that Central Banks are “targeting” in the bizarre claim that somehow hitting said targets will unleash economic growth.

Inflation #1 is depicted in the chart below. This is the reason why everything "costs" more today than it used to.

The Chart That Everyone Is Talking About

Something has changed...

For months high yield bond yields have been compressed alongside rising stock prices as the flood of global liquidity from central banks.

ECB buying has driven European junk bond yields below those of US Treasuries and in turn that has pressured global high yield risk lower - despite a rise in leverage to record highs.

However, the last two weeks have seen a big shift in flows as investors have fled high yield funds and pushed into investment grade and Treasuries.

 

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