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Bid To Cover Tumbles In Ugly, Tailing 7 Year Auction

Bid To Cover Tumbles In Ugly, Tailing 7 Year Auction

After two mediocre, tailing auctions, moments ago the Treasury sold $28 billion in 7 year paper in this week's final bond issuance and it was the ugliest of all.

Stopping at a high yield of 2.28%, this was a tail of 0.8bps - the first since July - to the 2.272% When Issued and the highest yield for 7Y paper since January. The Internals were ugly, with the Bid to Cover of 2.391 the lowest since August 2016, and sharply below September's 2.704, as well as the 2.57 past six auction average.

The Bond Market Calls Draghi's Bluff. What's Next?

The Bond Market Calls Draghi's Bluff. What's Next?

ECB President Mario Draghi is now walking back QE.

This is not a surprise to our readers. I’ve been forecasting this exact development, (as well as the Euro's spike to 120) since August 2016 (by the way, the Euro was at 109 back then everyone thought it would soon reach parity with the $USD as it collapsed).

Still, why is Draghi doing this?

Because the bond market was in revolt, with yields beginning to rise. Rising yields= falling bonds prices. Falling bond prices over time= bear market in bonds. Bear market in bonds = SYSTEMIC reset.

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