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Fed's Kaplan Admits Stock Valuations Are Elevated, But He's Not Worried For One Reason

Fed's Kaplan Admits Stock Valuations Are Elevated, But He's Not Worried For One Reason

There were two explicit warnings about stock market valuations in the latest Fed Minutes: first, the Fed warned that "vulnerabilities associated with asset valuation pressures had edged up from notable to elevated, as asset prices remained high or climbed further, risk spreads narrowed, and expected and actual volatility remained muted in a range of financial markets." Then, in an odd admission, the Fed said that "recent rises in equity prices might be part of a broad-based adjustment of asset prices to changes in longer-term financial conditions, importantly including a lo

Analyst Lays Out China's "Doomsday" Scenario

Analyst Lays Out China's "Doomsday" Scenario

The first time we laid out the dire calculations about what is perhaps the biggest mystery inside China's financial system, namely the total amount of its non-performing loans, by former Fitch analyst Charlene Chu we called it a "neutron bomb" scenario, because unlike virtually every other rosy forecast the most dire of which topped out at around 8%, Chu argued that the amount of bad debt in China was no less than a whopping 21% of total loans.

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