Via FFWiley.com,
Worried that recent U.S.–China trade dialog sounds like a Mayweather–McGregor promotional tour? Concerned that we might be headed for a repeat of the Great Depression era’s race-to-the-bottom tariff wars? Or, maybe you’re relieved that diplomats are no longer being diplomatic? Maybe you think it’s about time Washington stood up for American jobs?
WTI slipped back to almost a $46 handle today before bouncing modestly into the close ahead of tonight's API report, with all bullish eyes hoping last week's surprise gasoline build was a 'blip'. API reported a much larger than expected crude draw (biggest since Sept 2016) and while WTI rallied on the print, it was a very modest move (that for now failed to achieve $48) as we suspect the fact that gasoline saw another surprise build weighed on sentiment.
API
Authored by David Stockman via The Daily Reckoning,
Just call it Peak Crazy and move on. There is absolutely no reason for the stock markets to be at current levels, let alone melting-up day after day. The fact that this is happening is a measure of how impaired capital markets have become as a result of massive central bank intrusion.
The robo-machines and day traders keep buying the dips because that has “worked” for the last 100 months. There is nothing more to it than residual momentum.
Tepper tells us "we're nowhere near bubble levels in the stock market" - so buy... what's to worry about?
On the surface, the latest Chinese credit data reported overnight by the PBOC was not particularly memorable: new loans tumbled from the near record 1.540TN Yuan in June to only 825.5BN in July, just above the 820BN expected, while Total Social Financing also declined substantially from June's 1.78TN to 1.22TN, also beating the 1TN estimate. While both July prints were a steep drop from June - reflected in Monday's miss in retail sales, industrial production and capex - they were a significant increase from the year ago numbers.