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Despite Near Certainty Of June Rate-Hike, Millions Of Eurodollar 'Bets' Are Set To Expire Worthless

Despite Near Certainty Of June Rate-Hike, Millions Of Eurodollar 'Bets' Are Set To Expire Worthless

Via Long Convexity blog,

As a trader one of the most frustrating things is to have the correct view on the direction of the market, while not being able to monetize that view because you have the wrong structure on.

Due to the lack of a deep & liquid options market in fed fund futures, many market participants - particularly macro players - instead leverage the highly liquid eurodollar options market to express views on the direction of short-term interest rates.

South Africa Unexpectedly Plunges Into Recession

South Africa Unexpectedly Plunges Into Recession

Despite expectations (among 19 'economists') that growth would be up 1.0% in Q1, South African GDP tumbled 0.7% (the second drop in a row) pushing the nation back into recession after eight years.

The median of 19 economists’ estimates in a Bloomberg survey was for 1 percent expansion. There was only one forecast for a contraction. This was a four standard deviation miss...

 

Indicating contraction for the second quarter in a row - technically signaling a recession -  as all bar two industries shrank.

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