The simplest outline for this week concerns inflation.
Stocks have erupted higher in the last month based on the belief that the economy is roaring once again. However, this is all about sentiment, not reality. The Fed’s own real-time GDP tracking tools has collapsed from predicting growth of 3.5% in early February to just 1.9% last week.
While “growth” isn’t coming anytime soon… INFLATION is.
The key economic release this week is the employment report on Friday, which as Janet Yellen noted in her speech on Friday, is the only economic event (together perhaps with the CPI report on April 15), that could potentially derail a now practically guaranteed rate hike.
"Think About and Prepare For" End Of Euro - TV3 Agenda Interview
David McWilliams interviewed Lara Marlowe and Cormac Lucey about the elections in France (April 23 and May 7) for TV3’s Agenda and the short interview about the French elections, Le Pen and the risks posed to the euro is a must watch.
Despite its widely telegraphed $8.5 billion public offering with another $2 billion expected to be raised from asset sales, Germany's biggest lender is down sharply this morning as much as 6.9% (currently 6.1% lower) as Wall Street analysts dig through the details of the bank's latest massive restructuring, which as reported yesterday seeks to undo many of the changes implemented by CEO John Cryan over the past two years (and which will lead to an 80% reduction in the bank's 2016 bonus pool).