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Europe

Frontrunning: March 15

  • Bank of Japan Holds Fire on Stimulus, Negative Rate Unchanged (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Aims for a Knockout in Tuesday Primaries (WSJ)
  • Global Stocks Fall on Commodities Decline, Ahead of Fed Meeting (WSJ)
  • Oil prices fall as clouds gather over supply picture (Reuters)
  • Many Shale Companies Are Unable to Ramp Up Oil Output (WSJ)
  • Valeant Slashes Guidance, stock crashes (WSJ)
  • Fed to sit tight on rates at March meet, hint at hikes to come (Reuters)
  • Big Money Gets On China's Lifeboats (BBG)

Options Signal Short-Term Complacency, Medium-Term Terror

Options Signal Short-Term Complacency, Medium-Term Terror

With one central bank meeting down, but two to go, VIX and VSTOXX (Europe's VIX equivalent) have plunged to 2016 lows discounting any 'events' upsetting the complacency anytime soon. However, as Goldman's options strategists note, the medium-term skew (3M to 1Y) are at or near record highs as traders prepare for turbulence amid 'Brexit', US elections, and of course the inevitable 'Fold or No Fold' Fed decisions later in the year.

 

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