Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog,
Today’s post will have no answers. I am not sure anyone truly understands the strange day to day squiggles of the increasingly intertwined global financial system, but I wanted to highlight a relationship that cannot simply be monkeys typing Shakespeare.
Following Sunday night's resumption of trade after a three-day weekend, which saw sharp moves lower in US yields, the dollar and the USDJPY after Friday's disappointing CPI and retail sales data and the weekend's North Korea jitters, the mood has stabilized in light trading with Asian stocks advancing, Europe mostly closed for Easter Monday and S&P futures fractionally lower at 2,325 in early New York trading.
While everyone continues to focus on Trump and his policies, a much larger issue looms.
That issue is the US debt ceiling.
The US Government hit its debt ceiling on March 16, 2017. The Government employed “extraordinary measures” to keep the Government open. At that time, Congress had a little over three weeks to deal with this issue.
Given how divided Congress has become, it’s no surprise this has gone nowhere. Congress left for its spring recess without fixing this.
Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners,
Just when you thought it was safe to stride safely through the forest of stock market investing (hey - banks, Trump, hope, reform, stimulus, earnings, and Trump again); the bears are coming out of hibernation...
The calm in stocks worldwide is giving way to concern, as Bloomberg reports investors in Europe and the U.S. are rushing to hedge against declines and a Credit Suisse index flashing a warning as the list of economic and political obstacles grows. As we detailed earlier,