SSE 50

S&P futures rose alongside European stocks as Asian shares posted modest declines. The euro set a new six-month high and European bourses rose as PMI data from Germany and France signaled that the ECB will have to tighten soon as Europe's recovery remains on track, with the German Ifo business confidence printing at the highest level on record, and hinting at a GDP print in the 5% range. Oil declined after the Trump budget proposal suggested selling half the crude held in the US strategic petroleum reserve.

Global stocks were mixed to start the week, with Asian stocks higher, European stocks initially advancing then fading gains, while S&P futures are little changed after the biggest weekly drop since April (which for those keeping record was -0.4%). European shares, the euro and the pound all stumbled on Monday as rumblings in Spain, Britain and Brussels reminded investors that the region still has plenty of political uncertainty left in the tank.

Having hiked rates into rising inflation and slumping economic growth in March (the weakest quarterly growth for a rate hike period since 1980), and continuing to proclaim a victorious normalization looms - despite collapsing economic data (except payrolls), it seems an auto-pilot Fed is much more set on hiking rates than the market believes.

After two days of disappointing macro data out of China, with trade numbers missing expectations on Tuesday following by another drop and miss in producer prices overnight, the "great decoupling" between China stocks and both the S&P500 as well as the rest of the world continued, and the Shanghai Composite dropped another 0.9% to 3,052 to the lowest level since mid-October.

With all eyes on crude, following last night's mini flash crash which sent WTI lower by 3% from just above $45 to under $43 in under 10 minutes, equity markets, generally quiet overnight, have taken on a secondary importance ahead of today's key risk event, the April payrolls report (full preview here). In global equities, Asian and European stocks are lower, while S&P futures are little changed.