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What Wall Street Expects From Today's Payrolls Report And How To Trade It

What Wall Street Expects From Today's Payrolls Report And How To Trade It

In what may be one of the least relevant payroll reports in a long time as the Fed already knows the labor market is doing better quantiatively (qualitatively it has been all about low-paying jobs gaining at the expense of higher paying manufacturing and info-tech positions) and as has further demonstrated it is no longer jobs data dependent, here is what Wall Street consensus expects: total payrolls +200,000, down from 215K in March; a 4.9% unemployment rate; average hourly earnings rising 0.3% (last 0.3%) M/M and 2.4% Y/Y (last 2.3%); on labor force participation

Frontrunning: May 6

  • Trump, under pressure to unite Republicans, sharpens attack on Clinton (Reuters)
  • Trump's Campaign Upends the Science of Presidential Transition (BBG)
  • Trump says Britain would be better off outside EU (Reuters)
  • Goldman Said to Extend Fixed-Income Job Cuts to 10% of Staff (BBG)
  • Apple's Tim Cook to visit China for government meetings (Reuters)
  • China regulator studying impact of overseas-listed firms relisting in China (Reuters)
  • China Ponzi Warning to Asset Managers Cites Pooling of Cash (BBG)

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