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About That Debt Ceiling Crisis...

About That Debt Ceiling Crisis...

With just one month left until the "X Date", better known as the first day on which Treasury has exhausted its borrowing authority and no longer has sufficient funds to pay all of its bills in full and on time, and also known as the date the US is technically in default on its debt obligations and would be forced to prioritize debt payments according to that infamous 2011 Fed transcript...

"Rapidly Intensifying" Hurricane Irma Barreling Straight Toward The East Coast

"Rapidly Intensifying" Hurricane Irma Barreling Straight Toward The East Coast

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has just updated its forecast for what it is now referring to as a "rapidly intensifying" Category 2 hurricane in the Eastern Atlantic ocean and the results look disastrous for a large swath of the Caribbean and Southeastern United States.  Here is a brief summary of Hurricane Irma from the National Hurricane Center released at 11AM EST:

"This Is A Potentially Huge Deal" - RBC Warns Dollar Reversal Risks Grow

"This Is A Potentially Huge Deal" - RBC Warns Dollar Reversal Risks Grow

Since the plunge following North Korea's latest missile firing, the dollar has rocketed higher on the heels of a collapse in the JPY (BoJ?) and this morning on a dump in the EUR (after leaked jawboning from ECB) for the biggest 3 day swing since December.

 

Is this the start of a trend reversal in the dollar?

RBC's head of cross-asset strategy, Charlie McElligott, believes the risks of a tactical dollar reversal are growing...

WHAT IS THE OPPOSITE OF A ‘GROWTH SCARE?’

"I Was Wrong": Albert Edwards Finds Something That Has Never Happened Before

"I Was Wrong": Albert Edwards Finds Something That Has Never Happened Before

At the start of the year, we were surprised when SocGen's Albert "Ice Age" Edwards, the biggest perma-deflationist on Wall Street, flipped his outlook on the US economy, and said he now expected a fast spike in inflation driven by wage growth, which in turn would prompt an even more accelerated tightening cycle by the Fed. We did not see it, and said so, pointing out that the bulk of US job growth in recent years has been among industries that have little to no wage power.

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