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How Much Longer Can Junk Bonds Ignore Tumbling Crude Oil? UBS Has The Answer

How Much Longer Can Junk Bonds Ignore Tumbling Crude Oil? UBS Has The Answer

One month ago, Goldman spotted a curious divergence in the energy sector: whereas in 2015 and 2016, the energy-linked asset class that had the highest beta to crude and was the most impacted as a result of the plunge in oil prices, was debt and specifically junk bonds while equities were relatively resilient to crashing crude prices, in 2017 this relationship had flipped, and - as of mid-May - despite the latest tumble in oil prices, HY Energy credits had returned 2.3% vs. 3.3% for the broader HY index, while Energy equities were down a whopping 9.6%.

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Yellen, Inflation, Durables And GDP

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Yellen, Inflation, Durables And GDP

It's set to be a busy week with a a jam-packed agenda for central bank watchers, with speeches due from Janet Yellen, Mario Draghi, Mark Carney, Haruhiko Kuroda and more. Economic data may also drive momentum in financial markets, with closely watched reports due on inflation, employment, manufacturing and housing from China to the U.S. We also have GDP, durable goods and consumer confidence in US, industrial production in Japan and confidence indexes in EA

Key highlights:

Frontrunning: June 26

  • Italian Bank Deal Raises Questions About Eurozone Rules (WSJ)
  • UK PM May strikes $1.3 billion deal to get Northern Irish DUP support for her government (Reuters)
  • Nestle Targeted by Dan Loeb in Activist’s Biggest-Ever Bet (BBG)
  • Nestle 'committed' to strategy as activist investor moves in (Reuters)
  • Troubled Air-Bag Maker Takata Files for Bankruptcy (WSJ)
  • Merkel’s Election Opponent Slams Her for Being Too Nice to Trump (BBG)
  • Berlusconi Stages Comeback to Frontline Politics (BBG)

Italy Bank Bailouts Send European, Global Stocks Higher; Gold Flash Crashes

Italy Bank Bailouts Send European, Global Stocks Higher; Gold Flash Crashes

S&P futures point to a higher open following gains in Asian markets supported by stronger commodities but mostly European bourses, which are sharply higher following the €17 billion bailout of the two Veneto banks in Italy, the biggest taxpayer funded bank rescue in modern Italian history, as well as Dan Loeb's activist campaign of the world's biggest food company, Nestle which sent the stock up 5%, and finally Germany's Ifo business climate index which hit new all time highs.

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