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Mapped: Most Americans Can’t Afford New Homes

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Mapped: Most Americans Can’t Afford New Homes

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Key Takeaways

  • 65% of U.S. households can’t afford a new median-priced home.
  • In the least affordable states, over 80% are priced out.
  • Even in the most affordable state, a majority of households still can’t buy.

Most Americans can’t afford a new home.

A new analysis from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) shows that 65% of U.S. households are priced out of newly built homes, based on current prices and mortgage rates.

In some parts of the country, the situation is even more extreme. More than 80% of households can’t afford a new home, highlighting how widespread the affordability gap has become.

This map shows where Americans are being priced out and where barriers to homeownership are highest.

Ranked: Where Americans Are Most Priced Out of New Homes

At the extreme end, buying a new home is nearly out of reach. In New Hampshire, 83.4% of households are priced out of a new median-priced home.

In total, 11 states have at least 80% of households locked out.

This table shows the share of households priced out of new homes by state in 2026. A household is considered “priced out” if total housing costs—principal, interest, taxes, and insurance—exceed 28% of income, based on median new home prices and a 6% mortgage rate.

State % of Households Priced Out of New Homes Median New Home Price Income Needed to Qualify
New Hampshire 83.4% $677,982 $211,080
Hawaii 83.0% $884,781 $234,818
Maine 82.7% $548,493 $160,714
Alaska 82.2% $627,077 $188,313
Connecticut 81.8% $696,752 $224,811
Wyoming 81.8% $580,627 $164,982
Montana 81.5% $495,610 $141,997
Oregon 81.0% $608,135 $173,717
New York 80.5% $656,108 $204,163
Vermont 80.1% $580,627 $181,064
Pennsylvania 80.0% $528,370 $160,900
Massachusetts 79.8% $836,236 $246,370
Wisconsin 77.3% $485,449 $149,085
Ohio 76.5% $443,646 $137,310
Washington 76.1% $649,812 $185,213
Colorado 75.1% $644,149 $179,928
Kansas 73.4% $401,237 $128,372
Rhode Island 72.9% $578,724 $174,451
South Carolina 72.5% $421,098 $118,180
New Mexico 71.7% $362,847 $104,055
Illinois 71.3% $428,712 $143,374
Michigan 71.3% $371,503 $122,158
Kentucky 71.3% $398,741 $109,299
Florida 71.1% $429,644 $127,139
Indiana 70.7% $418,993 $123,219
District of Columbia 70.1% $836,441 $232,260
Iowa 70.0% $348,337 $120,598
Arkansas 70.0% $381,881 $100,780
Alabama 69.2% $375,944 $106,586
New Jersey 69.1% $527,069 $172,356
Utah 68.2% $531,151 $145,638
Tennessee 67.7% $399,580 $111,631
Oklahoma 67.6% $351,771 $107,846
Arizona 66.6% $446,796 $122,364
Missouri 66.6% $371,515 $111,332
Idaho 66.4% $430,280 $117,615
North Carolina 66.4% $394,058 $112,263
Louisiana 66.2% $318,728 $95,895
California 65.6% $545,892 $153,471
Nevada 65.5% $420,782 $115,555
West Virginia 64.8% $308,607 $88,071
Texas 64.5% $369,798 $117,131
Georgia 62.5% $374,579 $109,329
Minnesota 62.1% $402,209 $122,025
Nebraska 62.0% $328,603 $107,185
South Dakota 62.0% $346,894 $106,233
North Dakota 61.4% $382,451 $116,480
Mississippi 61.1% $266,837 $80,174
Virginia 58.9% $429,184 $122,542
Maryland 58.5% $432,949 $127,559
Delaware 56.0% $376,478 $104,282

While high-cost states like Hawaii and Massachusetts rank among the least affordable, others such as Maine and Wyoming show that affordability pressures are no longer limited to major metro areas.

Affordability Isn’t Just a Coastal Problem

The most striking takeaway is how universal the problem has become.

Even in lower-cost states like Mississippi ($267K) and West Virginia ($309K), a majority of households are still priced out new homes. While buyers need under $90,000 in income—compared to over $200,000 in the least affordable markets—that threshold remains out of reach for many.

In other words, moving to a cheaper state is no longer a reliable solution. Instead, the data points to a deeper issue, which is that incomes have not kept pace with rising housing costs across the country.

While existing homes can be more affordable than new construction, this data highlights a key constraint: much of the new housing supply entering the market is already out of reach for most households.

The Bigger Picture

As new home prices continue to outpace income growth, the gap between who can and can’t afford newly built homes is widening. That shift is reshaping where Americans live, how they build wealth, and whether homeownership is attainable at all.

If even the most affordable states are out of reach for most households looking at new homes, the question becomes harder to ignore: where can buyers realistically go next?

Learn More on the Voronoi App

To learn more about this topic, check out this graphic on where wealth is moving in America.