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Frontrunning: November 22

  • Record highs for Wall Street quartet send other stocks higher (Reuters)
  • Oil prices rise to highest this month on hopes of OPEC deal (Reuters)
  • OPEC Likely to Reach Output Consensus, Delegate Says (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Targets in First 100 Days: Trade, Regulation, Corruption (BBG)
  • Trump Poised to Push Nafta Changes, Pressure Mexico on Trade (WSJ)
  • China Touts Its Own Trade Pact as U.S.-Backed One Withers (WSJ)
  • Trump to kill trade deal on day one (Reuters)
  • Overtime Pay Rule to Go Into Effect, but May Not Last (WSJ)

Equity Breadth Is Flashing A Negative Signal About Growth Prospects

Equity Breadth Is Flashing A Negative Signal About Growth Prospects

Submitted by Eric Bush via Gavekal Capital blog,

We all know that stocks are a leading indicator of economic growth and disappointingly recent breadth measures suggest that economic activity may slow over the next several months.

In the charts below, we show the percentage of stocks trading above the 200-day moving average for various market aggregates, regions and sectors (with a 1-quarter lead) against the 3-month moving average of the ISM Manufacturing Index.

 

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