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WTI/RBOB Drop After Harvey Prompts US Crude Production Collapse, Biggest Inventory Build In 6 Months

Last night's first glimpse of Harvey's impact on energy confirmed a sizable crude build but only modest gasoline draw. WTI/RBOB prices slid into the DOE print and extended losses (after a quick kneejerk higher) following a bigger than expected crude build (+4.58mm vs +4mm exp). Gasoline and Distilates saw bigger draws than API reported but it was the collapse in Lower 48 crude production that stood out with most of Texas offline.

 

API

RBOB Stable at 2-Year Highs After Big Crude Draw, Surprise Gasoline Build

RBOB Stable at 2-Year Highs After Big Crude Draw, Surprise Gasoline Build

RBOB gasoline closes at a 2-year high (and WTI tested down to a $45 handle) as all attention is focused on the duration and impact of the storm (and how long refineries will be closed). Tonight's API data should not be market-moving since it relates to data from before Harvey but showed a big crude draw and modest (surprising) gasoline build once again.

 

API

WTI Algos Uncertain After Gasoline Inventories Draw But Crude Production Surges

WTI Algos Uncertain After Gasoline Inventories Draw But Crude Production Surges

WTI crude prices managed to scramble back up to pre-API-tumble levels ahead of DOE's data dump this morning with all eyes on gasoline inventories, which did not disappoint showing a small draw (in line with expectations) along with crude's draw which was roughly in line with API and expectations. Production continues to rise to highest since July 2015.

 

API

WTI/RBOB Slide After Oil Production Surge Offsets Biggest Crude Draw Since Sept

WTI/RBOB Slide After Oil Production Surge Offsets Biggest Crude Draw Since Sept

Following last night's mixed mesage from API (crude draw, gasoline build), WTI prices have gone nowhere as all eyes focus on DOE data this morning. Confirming API's trend, crude saw its biggest draw since Sept 2016 but Gasoline, Distillates, and Cushing (most since March) saw builds which upset the machines and sent prices lower. Crude production rose once again to its highest since July 2015.

 

API

WTI/RBOB Sink After Biggest Gasoline Build In 7 Months, Production Hits New Cycle High

WTI/RBOB Sink After Biggest Gasoline Build In 7 Months, Production Hits New Cycle High

Last night's mixed bag from API has been dominated by 'war premium' in oil prices as WTI bounced off $49 ahead of the DOE report which confirmed that gasoline inventories surprisingly built (+3.42mm vs -1.5mm exp) - the biggest build since January - and Crude inventories drew (though less than API). Crude production in the Lower 48 rose to 9.048mm b/d - a new cycle high.

 

API

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