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Goldman Pushes Back Rate Hike Forecast Citing Slowing Job Growth And Weak Inflation

After last month's "much stronger than expected" jobs report, Goldman was convinced that the Fed would hike in June and September, while disclosing its balance sheet tapering announcement in December. However, after today's disappointing jobs report, Jan Hatzius has flipped the last two, and says that he "now expects the third hike of 2017 to occur at the December meeting (we previously expected a hike in September and a balance sheet in announcement in December)."

Where The May Jobs Were: It Was All About Minimum Wage Again

Where The May Jobs Were: It Was All About Minimum Wage Again

If May was supposed to be the "tiebreaker" month, after a disastrous March and a solid (if now downward revised) April, then the US economy is not doing well: with only 138K jobs added in the past month, while over 200K actual jobs were lost (per the Household Survey), it was no surprise that the biggest missing link of the so-called recovery, wage growth, was simply not there again.

How is it that with the labor market supposedly near full employment, and the unemployment rate sliding to a post 2001 low of 4.3%, wages simply can not rise?

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