Pension Crisis In U.S. and Globally Is Unavoidable
by Lance Roberts
There is a really big crisis coming.
Think about it this way. After 8 years and a 230% stock market advance the pension funds of Dallas, Chicago, and Houston are in severe trouble.
But it isn’t just these municipalities that are in trouble, but also most of the public and private pensions that still operate in the country today.
It appears that "unmasking" is not merely a scandalous ploy employed in US politics.
S&P futures point to a slightly lower open, while Asian and European stocks are likewise modestly in the red. Trading volumes are muted for most markets on Monday with investors spooked by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Korean peninsula. It is also a holiday-shortened week in much of the West. As Bloomberg puts it, there is a "sense of unease" across markets, with global stocks mixed as investors weighed looming security risks and French bonds retreating ahead of the election following the surprising surge of far-leftist Melenchon in the polls.
Ahead of what we hope will be a relatively quiet week following the juggernaut from the past 7 days, we present readers with another excerpt from the latest weekly note from Eric Peters, CIO of One River, which is not only appropriate in the context of recent observation by UBS, involving the sudden collapse of the global credit impulse, but far more importantly, may be critical for those who are in the business of timing key market inflection points.
From Weekend Notes by Eric Peters
Although it will not come as a surprise to regular readers that, for various reasons, loan growth in the US has not only ground to a halt but, for the all important Commercial and Industrial Segment, has dropped at the fastest rate since the financial crisis, some (until recently) economic optimists, such as Bank of America's Ethan Harris, are only now start to realize that the post-election "recovery" was a mirage.