Business

Via John Rubino of DollarCollapse.com,

While the key number analysts were looking for in today's Personal Spending data was the PCE Price Index, both headline and core, which rose by 1.9% and 1.7% respectively, the latter coming in as expected, just shy of the Fed's 2.0% inflation target, the internals on US incomes and spending were just as notable.  Here, the silver lining of a rise in incomes (+0.4% MoM vs +0.3% exp) was dashed by a disappointingly slow growth in spending (+0.2% vs +0.5% prev).

An avalanche of hawkish Fed speakers appear to have got their way as March rate-hike odds have extended yesterday's move to 82% this morning. As stocks soar after a more presidential Trump, bond yields are also rising, catching up to stocks after diverging for two weeks.

From 24% to 82% in 3 weeks... did the economic data shift that much?

Umm no...

Stocks are soaring... bonds playing catch up for now.

But while bond yields are higher - 30Y above 3.00% - though the move is fading now...

Following a series of "hot" inflation prints from Germany's states, moments ago German inflation rose more than expected, printing at 2.2% above the 2.1% consensus estimate, up from 1.9% in January and surpassing the ECB's target of a rate just under 2 percent for the first time since August 2012, the peak of the Eurozone debt crisis.

With Germany headed for federal elections in September, the inflation figures will add more fuel to the debate about an end to the European Central Bank's loose monetary policy.

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