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One River CIO's Disturbing Prediction: "This Is The Biggest Policy Error In 50 Years"

With the Dow Jones just a handful of gamma imbalance rips away from 20,000, the CIO of One River Asset Management, Eric Peters, shares some critical perspective on the market's recent euphoric surge, going so far as to brand what is going on as America's "Massive Policy Error", the biggest in the past 50 years. 

His thoughs are presented below, framed in his typical "anecdotal" way.

Anecdote

 

Frontrunning: December 12

  • Crude Soars as Output Deal Weighs on Bonds; China Shares Tumble (BBG)
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield Above 2.5% for First Time in Two Years (WSJ)
  • The New Reality of TV: All Trump, All the Time (NYT)
  • Fed May Struggle to Signal What Comes After December (WSJ)
  • China warns Trump against ignoring its Taiwan interests (Reuters)
  • China’s Stocks, Bonds, Yuan Slump in Unison on Liquidity Concern (BBG)
  • Sovereign funds pulled cash from world markets for third year running (Reuters)
  • Trump Adds To Criticism Of Companies (WSJ)

Global Bond Rout Returns With A Vengeance, Sending 10Y Yields To Highest In Over Two Years

Global Bond Rout Returns With A Vengeance, Sending 10Y Yields To Highest In Over Two Years

The global bond rout returned with a bang, sending 10Y US Treasury yields as much as six basis points higher to 2.53%, the highest level in over two years. The selloff happened as oil prices surged by more than 5% following Saturday's agreement by NOPEC nations agreed to slash production, leading to rising inflation pressures. At last check, the 10Y was trading at 2.505%, up from 2.462% at Friday and on track for its highest close since September 2014, according to Tradeweb.

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