In a recent note, Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management, summarizes everything that's been happening over the past few years in one tidy anecdote. Citing an unnamed CIO, he points out that the central bank was created to help its member banks, and it attempts to impact the real economy by using interest rates as a mechanism to control the attractiveness of lending money.
Following Genscape's 1.4mm build estimate at Cushing, and expectations of a 1.1mm build, API reported a 1.46mm build. Chatter across trading desks was that API data had been leaked and that is what drove oil prices higher (after their Genscape-driven dump) which proved 100% incorrect as total crude inventories soared a shocking 3.5mm barrels (against expectations of no change) - the most in 5 weeks. Gaosline built less than expected and Distillates saw a draw but the damage was done and prices of WTI started to give back the days gains.
While everyone knew Q1 would be a terrible quarter for energy companies, it is turning out to be an absolute bloodbath for consumer-facing retail companies, and the latest example was "fashion accessory", but really watch company Fossil, which has cratered after hours after reporting not only a miss in EPS of $0.12 (Est.
Submitted by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity.com,
"No plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force."
~ Helmuth von Moltke the Elder
"Shit happens"
~ Anonymous
Yeah ok - the best day in US equities in 2 months... on what? Data has been crap (even JOLTS 'good news' does nothging but corner The Fed into rate hikes even more), earnings have done nothing, bonds are rallying, and oil rallied on the back of a surge in production (perhaps front-running API inventory data)..."it's all good" up here right?