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For 6th Year Running, Economists' Growth Expectations Collapse

With The Atlanta Fed's slashing its Q1 GDP growth expectations to just 0.1%, consensus estimates for 2016 growth have collapsed. However, none of this should surprise anyone as this is the sixth year in a row that over-optimistic growth hopes devolve into hype for more stimulus and a hockey-stick just around the corner.

 

While expectations have not improved since 2010, at least one these dreadful soothsayers is defending this year's drop in the same old manner - by promising that H2 will be better, for these 4 reasons...

"This Is Where The Good News Ends" - JPM Says All Margin Subcomponents Are Rolling Over

"This Is Where The Good News Ends" - JPM Says All Margin Subcomponents Are Rolling Over

From one of the biggest cheerleaders of the stock market, in recent months Jamie Dimon's JPM has undergone a dramatic anti-Hugh Hendrian metamorphosis, turning increasingly more skeptical on further risk asset upside and as of one month ago, pulled the plug on its former cheerful nature when in early March it announced it had gone Underweight stocks "for the very first time this cycle."

What The Charts Say: 15 "Risks" To The Recent Rally

What The Charts Say: 15 "Risks" To The Recent Rally

The stock surge from February is at risk, warns BofAML's Stephen Suttmeier as a plethora of bearish divergences could cap further gains from here. 2044-2022 are key nearby S&P 500 support for April, but a loss of 2022 is required to break the last higher low from 3/24 and suggest a deeper decline for the S&P 500. The following 15 risk-factors - from VIX term structure steepness to Dow Theory Sell signals - all point to a retest of the recent 1810-1820 lows.

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