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"It's All A Short Squeeze" - Goldman Expects A 20% Drop Before Markets Can Rally

"It's All A Short Squeeze" - Goldman Expects A 20% Drop Before Markets Can Rally

Three weeks into January things were looking rather grim.

Plunging crude, jitters about the ongoing (and increasingly unpredictable) yuan devaluation, and spillovers to global risk assets stemming from an ill-fated attempt by Chinese regulators to implement a stock market circuit breaker got US equities off to one of their worst Januarys in history.

Frontrunning: February 24

  • Shares fall with oil prices, yen in demand (Reuters)
  • Trump's third straight win has rivals looking for answers (Reuters)
  • How Marco Rubio Blunted Ted Cruz—and Boosted Donald Trump (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Seals GOP Front-Runner Status With Nevada Win (WSJ)
  • Fischer says no Fed plan to move to negative interest rates (Reuters)
  • Lew Says Don't Expect `Crisis Response' From Group of 20 Meeting (BBG)
  • Solid support for Apple in iPhone encryption fight (Reuters)
  • This Year’s Biggest IPO Is a Blank Check for the Oil Business (WSJ)

The Selling Is Back: S&P Futures Tumble Below 1,900; Sterling Crashes, Gold Soars

The Selling Is Back: S&P Futures Tumble Below 1,900; Sterling Crashes, Gold Soars

While the prevailing dour (or perhaps sour) overnight mood was a continuation of the weak oil theme which started yesterday after Iran said the production freeze proposed by Saudi and Russia as "ridiculous", and Saudi oil minister Al-Naimi said that Saudi won't cut supply and that high-cost producers need to either "lower costs, borrow cash or liquidate” (ideally the latter), risk sentiment was further dented when BOJ Governor Kuroda says he won’t target FX rates or stocks, which is clearly nonsense, and further spooked Japanese asset prices (Nikkei -0.85), while s

ISIS and the End of Cash

If you listen to administration officials, the key to winning the war on ISIS is to cut off the group’s funding, some of which the government claims is tied up in stacks of U.S. dollars. At the same time, banking interests and policymakers claim possession of a $100 bill is practically evidence of criminality in and of itself. As these two efforts to stigmatize cash intersect, America faces a dramatic push to eliminate, or at the very least drastically curb, the existence of physical money.

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