Even The Fed Is Flashing A Recession Warning

After The Cleveland Fed's warning of "significant stress" in the financial markets, we find none other than Dovish-hawk Jim Bullard's St.Louis Fed growing increasingly fearful of the "r" word.
The last two times, financial stress was this "significant," The Fed unleashed QE1 and Operation Twist...
And now, as Mises Institute's Mark Thornton notes, this little known chart (below) is the St. Louis Fed's attempt to anticipate a recession in the US economy.