Business

When BofA's Michael Hartnett releases his monthly Fund Managers' Survey, the one chart we always head straight to is the one laying out what the "smart money", aka the polled investors who make up the survey, is most worried about, or as they put it: what are the biggest "tail risks."

The chart below shows that as recently as a month ago, what jept everyone at night by a substantial margin, with 45% putting it as their top fear, was a China Recession, followed by an EM debt crisis.

How things have changed in the subsequent month.

The President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis – who oversaw the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Financial Stability (Neel Kashkari) – says that the nation’s biggest banks remain too big to fail and pose significant risk to the economy

Kashkari joins the following top economists and financial experts who believe that the failure to rein in the “too big to fail” banks is unacceptable:

When last we checked in on Norway, we outlined what we called the country’s “currency conundrum.”

In recent weeks, status-quo maintainers have pointed to The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecast's resurgence as evidence that the market is just being irrational and that everything is awesome after all. Since we first brought the world's attention to this real-time forecast of US economic growth it has become closely-watched by all...

At 1600bps, the extra yield investors are demanding to take on US energy credit risk has never been higher. However, if a new report from Deloitte proves true, this is far from enough as they forecast roughly a third of oil producers are at high risk of slipping into bankruptcy this year as low commodity prices crimp their access to cash and ability to cut debt.

Record high US Energy credit risk...