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As US Inflation Expectations Plunge And Converge With Europe's, Here Is One Way To Trade It

As US Inflation Expectations Plunge And Converge With Europe's, Here Is One Way To Trade It

By Francesco Filia, CIO of Fasanara Capital

US Inflation Expectations Closing Gap To Europe's

In January, surprisingly, US Inflation expectations, as measured by 5y5y forward inflation swaps, plunged closer to European forward inflation rates (within 10bps from 5yr lows).

In stark contrast, the 5y interest rates spread between US Treasuries and Bunds stands near its 5-yr highs, as the FED expects (and is expected) to raise rates, while the ECB contemplates deeply negative interest rates.

Capital Formation Collapses - IPO Market Crashes To Post-Crisis Lows

Capital Formation Collapses - IPO Market Crashes To Post-Crisis Lows

Zero... nada... zip! That's how many IPOs have started trading on US exchanges in 2016 so far...

As Bloomberg reports, at this rate, January is on track for the slowest month for IPOs since December 2008, when no companies filed after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Inc.

 

In fact, January 2016 was globally the worst month for capital formation (IPOs) since August 2008...

 

And not even the insiders are particularly hopeful...

Did Japan Just Prove That Central Bankers Are Effectively Out of Ammo?

Did Japan Just Prove That Central Bankers Are Effectively Out of Ammo?

The world has yet to fully digest what is currently happening in Japan.

 

Japan is the global leader for Keynesian Central Banking insanity. The ECB and US Federal Reserve began implementing ZIRP and QE after 2008. The Bank of Japan has been employing both ZIRP and QE since 2001.

 

Put simply, by the time the Great Crisis of 2008 rolled around, the Bank of Japan had nearly a decade’s experience seeing what QE, ZIRP, and the like could accomplish.

 

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