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The Fed Has Hit The 'Pause' Button

The Fed Has Hit The 'Pause' Button

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning,

Last week the Fed raised the white flag on further rate hikes. There won’t be any for the foreseeable future.

No rate hikes are coming at the July, September or November Fed FOMC meetings. The earliest rate hike might be at the December 13, 2017 FOMC meeting, but even that has a less than 50% probability as of today. I’ll update those probabilities using my proprietary models in the weeks and months ahead.

Rental Growth Is Rapidly Decelerating Across The US

Rental Growth Is Rapidly Decelerating Across The US

Single-family rents, as measured by the CoreLogic Single-Family Repeat Rent Index (SFRI), climbed steadily between 2010 and 2016. However, as CoreLogic reported last week, rent growth has seen a material decline during the last 18 months. The index shows that rent growth has been slowly decelerating (Figure 1) since February 2016 when it peaked at a 4.3% year-over-year increase. As of May 2017, single-family rents increased 2.9% year over year, a 1.4% point deceleration since the February 2016 peak.

Macquarie: Central Bank Interest Rate Repression Creates "Slaves"

Macquarie: Central Bank Interest Rate Repression Creates "Slaves"

Authored by Mark Melin via ValueWalk.com,

While central bank interest rate policy has been a relatively muted factor in stock market performance recently – successive rate hikes and hawkish Fed inclinations have mostly been warmly greeted by stock market advances – this pattern is about to change, predicts a July 18 Macquarie research report.

High Yield IED

High Yield IED

Submitted by Michael Lebowitz of 720 Global

“What we’re seeing is an increase in the evolutionary pace of IED (improvised explosive device) design. It’s increasing at a pace we previously haven’t seen.” 

       - Ben Venzke

CBO: Straight Repeal Of Obamacare Would Increase Uninsured By 32 Million

CBO: Straight Repeal Of Obamacare Would Increase Uninsured By 32 Million

One month after the CBO scored the now defunct Senate healthcare bill, forecasting it would increase the number of uninsured by 22 million while cutting the budget deficit by $321 billion over the next ten years, moments ago the CBO released its latest score of what a straight repeal of Obamacare would look like. In short, doing away with the Affordable Care Act, would increase the number of uninsured by 32 million by 2026, while reducing the budget deficit by $473 billion in the CBO's view.

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