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Goldman Looks For Policy Error At The Fed, Finds Something Unexpected

Goldman Looks For Policy Error At The Fed, Finds Something Unexpected

When it comes to Goldman's reaction (function) to the Fed's own reaction function, so to speak, it has been a love-hate, but mostly confused, relationship over the past three months.

First, back in March, Goldman's Jan Hatzius was stunned to note that the market reaction following the Fed's first rate hike was not the reaction the Fed wanted, when "the Fed's 0.25% rate hike had the same effect as a 0.25% race cut" and prompted it to ask if Yellen has lost control of the market.

Loonie Spikes To 5-Month Highs After Poloz, Patterson Double-Whammy

Loonie Spikes To 5-Month Highs After Poloz, Patterson Double-Whammy

Following Bank of Canada's Poloz restates his bias for higher rates earlier in Sintra, now BoC deputy Patterson confirmed "the oil shock is largely behind us" and hinted that low rates were no longer needed. This is the biggest spike in the Loonie since March 2016, pushing it back to its strongest against the dollar since early Feb 2017.

Ethereum Soars 30%, Tops $300 After WEF Blockchain Report

Ethereum Soars 30%, Tops $300 After WEF Blockchain Report

Mike Novogratz said yesterday that he would be adding if Ether dropped near $200, and as it did overnight, a bid appeared and helped by positive comments in a World Economic Forum whitepaper on "realizing the potential of blockchain," Ethereum has exploded higher, topping $300.

Quite a reversal...

 

While the catalyst is unknown, CoinTelegraph reports that The World Economic Forum (WEF) today published a dedicated Blockchain report detailing how the technology will flow into the global economy.

WTI/RBOB Jump On Gaosline Draw As US Crude Production Tumbles Most Since August

WTI/RBOB Jump On Gaosline Draw As US Crude Production Tumbles Most Since August

Last night's unexpected API builds kneejerked prices lower but a weaker dollar helped levitate WTI/RBOB into the DOE print. While tropical depression Cindy may have affected the data, DOE reports a small build in crude (expectations for a draw) but all eyes were on gasoline which drew 894k, well below API's build levels and expectation of no change. Production in the Lower 48 fell 55k b/d - the biggest drop since Aug 2016 (likely impacted by Cindy).

 

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